San Jose Sharks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-11-14 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

NYR: 66.9%

SJS: 33.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.33

SJS: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	SJS 3 - 1 NYR	SJS	SJS
2025-10-23	NYR 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	NYR
2025-03-29	SJS 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	SJS
2024-11-14	NYR 3 - 2 SJS	NYR	NYR
2024-01-23	SJS 3 - 2 NYR	SJS	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	12	0	0.65
1	SJS	13	0	0.22
2	NYR	26	1	1.25
2	SJS	9	0	0.37
3	NYR	15	0	0.93
3	SJS	15	2	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9