New York Islanders at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-11-14 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 58.1%

NYI: 41.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.96

NYI: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • VAN at home vs NYI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-12-19	NYI 1 - 4 VAN	VAN	NYI
2025-03-26	NYI 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	NYI
2024-11-14	VAN 2 - 5 NYI	NYI	VAN
2024-01-09	NYI 2 - 5 VAN	VAN	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	4	0	0.05
1	NYI	15	1	1.06
2	VAN	6	0	0.41
2	NYI	18	2	1.59
3	VAN	29	0	1.34
3	NYI	9	3	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 2 - 5 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8