Washington Capitals at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-11-15 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 54.2%
WSH: 45.8%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.25
WSH: 2.53
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 42%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | COL | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • COL at home vs WSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | WSH 2 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-01-19 | COL 5 - 2 WSH | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-21 | WSH 1 - 2 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-15 | COL 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | COL |
| 2024-02-13 | WSH 3 - 6 COL | COL | COL |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Washington Capitals
Expected: 3.2 - 2.5
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