Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-11-16 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

CAR: 68.7%

OTT: 31.3%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.70

OTT: 2.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

CAR

Spencer Martin - 7-9-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.30 GAA

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Spencer Martin	24	24	0	100.0%	2.44	2	2.44
OTT	Anton Forsberg	28	24	4	85.7%	4.22	4	0.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 77% • CAR at home vs OTT: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-25	OTT 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-23	OTT 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-04-20	CAR 3 - 2 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-18	CAR 2 - 0 OTT	CAR	CAR
2026-04-05	OTT 6 - 3 CAR	OTT	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	21	1	1.05
1	OTT	10	1	0.67
2	CAR	13	1	1.19
2	OTT	11	1	0.71
3	CAR	13	2	1.97
3	OTT	18	0	1.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5