St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-11-17 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 84.8%
STL: 15.2%
Expected Goals
CAR: 4.44
STL: 1.78
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | CAR | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.894 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs STL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | CAR 1 - 3 STL | STL | CAR |
| 2026-01-13 | STL 3 - 0 CAR | STL | CAR |
| 2024-11-17 | CAR 4 - 1 STL | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-19 | STL 4 - 3 CAR | STL | STL |
| 2024-04-12 | STL 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:05 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 19:35 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 00:17 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 12:26 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:47 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 84.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 4.4 - 1.8
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.