Nashville Predators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-11-17 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 5 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 51.2%

NSH: 48.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.31

NSH: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	22	17	5	77.3%	2.53	3	-2.47
NSH	Juuse Saros	27	24	3	88.9%	1.99	0	-1.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • VAN at home vs NSH: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	VAN 4 - 3 NSH	VAN	VAN
2025-11-03	NSH 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-10-23	NSH 2 - 1 VAN	NSH	NSH
2025-01-29	NSH 1 - 3 VAN	VAN	NSH
2025-01-03	VAN 0 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	0.39
1	NSH	12	1	0.68
2	VAN	21	0	1.27
2	NSH	22	0	0.86
3	VAN	8	0	0.33
3	NSH	5	2	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 5 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2