Colorado Avalanche at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-11-18 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

PHI: 47.5%

COL: 52.5%

Expected Goals

PHI: 2.87

COL: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs COL: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	COL 3 - 7 PHI	PHI	COL
2025-12-07	PHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-02	COL 2 - 0 PHI	COL	COL
2024-11-18	PHI 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2024-01-20	PHI 4 - 7 COL	COL	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	9	1	0.71
1	COL	19	1	1.18
2	PHI	11	0	0.50
2	COL	9	0	0.67
3	PHI	18	1	1.25
3	COL	13	1	1.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1