Edmonton Oilers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-11-18 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (66% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 34.4%

EDM: 65.6%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.37

EDM: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • MTL at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-14	MTL 4 - 1 EDM	MTL	MTL
2025-10-23	EDM 6 - 5 MTL	EDM	EDM
2025-03-06	EDM 3 - 2 MTL	EDM	EDM
2024-11-18	MTL 3 - 0 EDM	MTL	EDM
2024-03-19	EDM 3 - 2 MTL	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	11	1	0.75
1	EDM	18	2	2.10
2	MTL	14	1	1.06
2	EDM	9	0	0.47
3	MTL	19	2	1.70
3	EDM	12	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.4 - 3.2