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Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-11-18 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
DAL: 61.5%
ANA: 38.5%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.60
ANA: 2.44
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
StatDALANA
Season SV%0.9070.888
Last 5 SV%0.9160.840
SV% vs Opponent0.7500.828
GAA2.573.15
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DAL at home vs ANA: 2-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-13ANA 3 - 1 DALANAANA
2025-12-19ANA 3 - 8 DALDALANA
2025-11-06DAL 5 - 7 ANAANAANA
2025-03-18DAL 4 - 3 ANADALDAL
2025-02-04ANA 2 - 1 DALANADAL

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
100:56ANAGoal
105:44ANAGoal
207:39ANAGoal
303:31ANAGoal
312:08ANAGoal
314:32ANAGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.6 - 2.4