Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2024-11-18 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

DAL: 66.6%

ANA: 33.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.50

ANA: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs ANA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	ANA 3 - 1 DAL	ANA	ANA
2025-12-19	ANA 3 - 8 DAL	DAL	ANA
2025-11-06	DAL 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-03-18	DAL 4 - 3 ANA	DAL	DAL
2025-02-04	ANA 2 - 1 DAL	ANA	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	16	0	0.77
1	ANA	17	0	0.81
2	DAL	16	1	1.16
2	ANA	7	0	0.60
3	DAL	28	2	2.20
3	ANA	12	2	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8