Anaheim Ducks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-11-18 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 57.3%
ANA: 42.7%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.01
ANA: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | DAL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.860 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.750 | 0.828 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • DAL at home vs ANA: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | ANA 3 - 1 DAL | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-12-19 | ANA 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | ANA |
| 2025-11-06 | DAL 5 - 7 ANA | ANA | DAL |
| 2025-03-18 | DAL 4 - 3 ANA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-04 | ANA 2 - 1 DAL | ANA | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:56 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 05:44 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:39 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 03:31 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 12:08 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 14:32 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 2 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0