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2025-26 Season Live

Detroit Red Wings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-11-18 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Win (60% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
SJS: 39.7%
DET: 60.3%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.02
DET: 3.51
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 75%
Over 6.5: 61%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
StatSJSDET
Season SV%0.8960.893
Last 5 SV%0.8620.862
SV% vs Opponent0.8750.909
GAA3.362.97
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs DET: 1-2
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-16DET 4 - 2 SJSDETDET
2025-11-02SJS 2 - 3 DETDETDET
2025-01-14DET 3 - 6 SJSSJSDET
2024-11-18SJS 5 - 4 DETSJSDET
2024-01-02SJS 3 - 5 DETDETDET

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
107:28DETGoal
110:28SJSGoal
118:48DETGoal
205:59SJSGoal
208:11DETGoal
219:18SJSGoal
306:19SJSGoal
317:54SJSGoal
400:46SJSGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 5 - 4 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.5