Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-11-19 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 2 - 5 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 48.2%
EDM: 51.8%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.02
EDM: 3.24
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | OTT | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.871 | — |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • OTT at home vs EDM: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | EDM 5 - 4 OTT | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-10-21 | OTT 2 - 3 EDM | EDM | OTT |
| 2024-12-22 | EDM 3 - 1 OTT | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-19 | OTT 2 - 5 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-03-24 | OTT 5 - 3 EDM | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:46 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 15:40 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 16:15 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 19:19 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 04:39 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 11:50 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 17:36 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 2 - 5 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2
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