Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-11-19 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 49.5%

FLA: 50.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.19

FLA: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	23	20	3	87.0%	2.91	1	-0.09
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	27	21	6	77.8%	4.23	3	-1.77

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WPG at home vs FLA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	FLA 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	FLA
2026-01-22	WPG 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	WPG
2024-11-19	WPG 6 - 3 FLA	WPG	FLA
2024-11-16	FLA 5 - 0 WPG	FLA	FLA
2023-11-24	FLA 0 - 3 WPG	WPG	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	15	0	0.89
1	FLA	19	0	0.91
2	WPG	17	1	1.08
2	FLA	13	0	0.41
3	WPG	18	2	2.25
3	FLA	17	1	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 6 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1