Anaheim Ducks at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-11-19 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 58.0%

ANA: 42.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.61

ANA: 3.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	24	21	3	87.5%	2.36	0	-0.64
ANA	John Gibson	20	18	2	90.0%	1.64	1	-0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CHI at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	ANA 7 - 1 CHI	ANA	ANA
2025-11-30	CHI 5 - 3 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-10-19	CHI 2 - 1 ANA	CHI	ANA
2025-03-01	ANA 3 - 6 CHI	CHI	ANA
2024-11-19	CHI 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	16	1	0.92
1	ANA	9	0	0.42
2	CHI	5	0	0.42
2	ANA	21	0	1.20
3	CHI	6	0	0.31
3	ANA	12	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 3 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.6 - 3.5