New York Rangers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-11-19 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 51.0%

NYR: 49.0%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.97

NYR: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

VAN

Arturs Silovs - 3-0-1 | 0.881 SV% | 2.47 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Arturs Silovs	33	29	4	87.9%	2.37	0	-1.63
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	24	21	3	87.5%	2.03	1	-0.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • VAN at home vs NYR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-11	NYR 6 - 2 VAN	NYR	NYR
2025-12-16	NYR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-10-28	VAN 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-22	NYR 5 - 3 VAN	NYR	VAN
2024-11-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	9	1	0.72
1	NYR	24	0	1.42
2	VAN	10	0	0.67
2	NYR	11	0	0.55
3	VAN	11	0	0.64
3	NYR	9	0	0.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3