Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-11-20 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 50.7%
CAR: 49.3%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.37
CAR: 3.15
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | PHI | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.918 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • PHI at home vs CAR: 0-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | CAR 3 - 2 PHI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-13 | PHI 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | PHI |
| 2025-10-11 | CAR 4 - 3 PHI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-15 | PHI 0 - 5 CAR | CAR | PHI |
| 2024-11-20 | PHI 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:30 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 02:13 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 01:03 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:02 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:57 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.4 - 3.2