San Jose Sharks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2024-11-20 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 5 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 75.5%
SJS: 24.5%
Expected Goals
DAL: 4.21
SJS: 2.07
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | DAL | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.926 | 0.870 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • DAL at home vs SJS: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | SJS 5 - 4 DAL | SJS | DAL |
| 2025-12-18 | SJS 3 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-05 | DAL 4 - 1 SJS | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-02-08 | SJS 3 - 8 DAL | DAL | SJS |
| 2024-11-20 | DAL 5 - 2 SJS | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:33 | DAL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:44 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:56 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:56 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:25 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:33 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:06 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 75.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 5 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 4.2 - 2.1
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