Buffalo Sabres at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2024-11-20 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 0 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 55.7%
BUF: 44.3%
Expected Goals
LAK: 2.65
BUF: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | LAK | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.866 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.903 | 0.974 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • LAK at home vs BUF: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | BUF 4 - 1 LAK | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-11-20 | LAK 0 - 1 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-10-10 | BUF 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | BUF |
| 2024-02-13 | BUF 7 - 0 LAK | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-01-24 | LAK 3 - 5 BUF | BUF | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 00:38 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 0 - 1 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 2.7 - 3.1