Utah Hockey Club at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-11-21 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 1 - 0 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 45.5%
UTA: 54.5%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.01
UTA: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 41%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs UTA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | BOS 4 - 1 UTA | BOS | UTA |
| 2025-10-19 | UTA 3 - 2 BOS | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-11-21 | BOS 1 - 0 UTA | BOS | UTA |
| 2024-10-19 | UTA 2 - 1 BOS | UTA | UTA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOS | 17 | 0 | 0.82 |
| 1 | UTA | 13 | 1 | 1.10 |
| 2 | BOS | 16 | 0 | 1.10 |
| 2 | UTA | 17 | 0 | 0.61 |
| 3 | BOS | 10 | 3 | 1.66 |
| 3 | UTA | 14 | 0 | 0.81 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 1 - 0 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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