Utah Hockey Club at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-11-21 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 49.8%

UTA: 50.2%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.84

UTA: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 39%

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	22	22	0	100.0%	2.52	1	2.52
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	31	30	1	96.8%	3.58	3	2.58

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • BOS at home vs UTA: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-08	BOS 6 - 1 UTA	BOS	BOS
2025-12-16	BOS 4 - 1 UTA	BOS	UTA
2025-10-19	UTA 3 - 2 BOS	UTA	UTA
2024-11-21	BOS 1 - 0 UTA	BOS	UTA
2024-10-19	UTA 2 - 1 BOS	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	17	0	0.82
1	UTA	13	1	1.10
2	BOS	16	0	1.10
2	UTA	17	0	0.61
3	BOS	10	3	1.66
3	UTA	14	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 0 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0