San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-11-21 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

STL: 69.5%

SJS: 30.5%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.48

SJS: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	27	25	2	92.6%	1.96	0	-0.04
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	33	30	3	90.9%	3.79	3	0.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 31% • STL at home vs SJS: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-08	STL 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	STL
2026-03-30	SJS 5 - 4 STL	SJS	STL
2026-03-26	STL 2 - 1 SJS	STL	STL
2026-03-06	SJS 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2024-12-12	STL 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	19	1	1.21
1	SJS	8	0	0.42
2	STL	8	0	0.48
2	SJS	7	0	0.13
3	STL	11	1	0.89
3	SJS	19	0	0.93
4	STL	2	0	0.18
4	SJS	3	0	0.28
5	STL	3	1	1.03
5	SJS	3	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7