San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2024-11-21 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 70.4%
SJS: 29.6%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.42
SJS: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 45%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • STL at home vs SJS: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | SJS 5 - 4 STL | SJS | STL |
| 2026-03-26 | STL 2 - 1 SJS | STL | STL |
| 2026-03-06 | SJS 2 - 3 STL | STL | SJS |
| 2024-12-12 | STL 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | STL |
| 2024-11-21 | STL 3 - 2 SJS | STL | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 19 | 1 | 1.21 |
| 1 | SJS | 8 | 0 | 0.42 |
| 2 | STL | 8 | 0 | 0.48 |
| 2 | SJS | 7 | 0 | 0.13 |
| 3 | STL | 11 | 1 | 0.89 |
| 3 | SJS | 19 | 0 | 0.93 |
| 4 | STL | 2 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 4 | SJS | 3 | 0 | 0.28 |
| 5 | STL | 3 | 1 | 1.03 |
| 5 | SJS | 3 | 0 | 0.20 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 70.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7
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