Florida Panthers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-11-21 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 46.0%

FLA: 54.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.71

FLA: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Petr Mrazek	33	32	1	97.0%	2.88	1	1.88
FLA	Spencer Knight	20	17	3	85.0%	2.54	2	-0.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CHI at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	CHI 1 - 5 FLA	FLA	CHI
2025-10-07	FLA 3 - 2 CHI	FLA	CHI
2025-02-01	FLA 5 - 1 CHI	FLA	FLA
2024-11-21	CHI 3 - 1 FLA	CHI	FLA
2023-11-12	FLA 4 - 3 CHI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	9	1	0.96
1	FLA	15	1	1.09
2	CHI	11	0	0.59
2	FLA	12	0	0.52
3	CHI	7	1	1.00
3	FLA	19	0	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2