Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-11-21 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 59.4%
MIN: 40.6%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.13
MIN: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | EDM | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.872 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • EDM at home vs MIN: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | EDM 3 - 7 MIN | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-12-20 | MIN 5 - 2 EDM | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-02 | EDM 0 - 1 MIN | MIN | EDM |
| 2025-01-15 | MIN 3 - 5 EDM | EDM | MIN |
| 2024-12-12 | MIN 1 - 7 EDM | EDM | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:27 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 09:56 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 03:09 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 06:03 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 09:10 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 17:02 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 09:50 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:35 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9