Winnipeg Jets at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-11-22 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 50.4%

WPG: 49.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.24

WPG: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	PIT 5 - 4 WPG	PIT	PIT
2025-11-01	WPG 5 - 2 PIT	WPG	PIT
2024-11-22	PIT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	PIT
2024-10-20	WPG 6 - 3 PIT	WPG	WPG
2024-02-10	WPG 2 - 1 PIT	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	13	0	0.86
1	WPG	17	1	1.56
2	PIT	7	0	0.23
2	WPG	18	0	1.11
3	PIT	14	0	0.72
3	WPG	12	2	2.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2