Buffalo Sabres at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-11-22 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 58.2%
BUF: 41.8%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.30
BUF: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | ANA | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.871 | — |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs BUF: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-10 | BUF 5 - 3 ANA | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-02-25 | BUF 3 - 2 ANA | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-11-22 | ANA 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | ANA |
| 2024-02-19 | BUF 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | BUF |
| 2024-01-23 | ANA 4 - 2 BUF | ANA | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:02 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 19:27 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:37 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 14:07 | ANA | Goal |
| 4 | 04:00 | BUF | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9