Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-11-23 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

PHI: 63.5%

CHI: 36.5%

Expected Goals

PHI: 4.49

CHI: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	PHI 5 - 1 CHI	PHI	PHI
2025-12-23	CHI 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-03-23	CHI 7 - 4 PHI	CHI	PHI
2024-11-23	PHI 3 - 2 CHI	PHI	PHI
2024-03-30	PHI 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	14	0	0.84
1	CHI	12	0	0.46
2	PHI	17	0	0.89
2	CHI	9	2	1.37
3	PHI	17	1	0.98
3	CHI	12	0	0.36
4	PHI	1	0	0.19
4	CHI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.5 - 2.8