Colorado Avalanche at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-11-23 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 4 - 7 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 58.8%
COL: 41.2%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.35
COL: 3.19
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | FLA | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.920 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs COL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | FLA 2 - 1 COL | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-12-11 | COL 6 - 2 FLA | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-06 | COL 3 - 1 FLA | COL | COL |
| 2024-11-23 | FLA 4 - 7 COL | COL | FLA |
| 2024-02-10 | FLA 4 - 0 COL | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:44 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 09:13 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 00:52 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:40 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:58 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:54 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:04 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:34 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:17 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:15 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:49 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 4 - 7 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.3 - 3.2