Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-11-23 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 58.8%
VAN: 41.2%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.03
VAN: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | OTT | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.950 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • OTT at home vs VAN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-13 | OTT 2 - 1 VAN | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-21 | VAN 4 - 5 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-11-23 | OTT 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | OTT |
| 2024-01-02 | VAN 6 - 3 OTT | VAN | VAN |
| 2023-11-09 | OTT 2 - 5 VAN | VAN | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:36 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 03:41 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 09:23 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 13:01 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 08:41 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 16:29 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:16 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.0 - 3.2