Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-11-23 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 59.3%

VAN: 40.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.95

VAN: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • OTT at home vs VAN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	VAN 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-13	OTT 2 - 1 VAN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-21	VAN 4 - 5 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-23	OTT 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	OTT
2024-01-02	VAN 6 - 3 OTT	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	11	1	1.15
1	VAN	10	0	0.48
2	OTT	13	1	0.91
2	VAN	12	0	0.70
3	OTT	16	0	1.09
3	VAN	7	1	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9