Vancouver Canucks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2024-11-23 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 52.3%
VAN: 47.7%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.04
VAN: 3.28
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 51%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-27-5 | 0.875 SV% | 3.70 GAA
| Stat | OTT | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.952 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • OTT at home vs VAN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | VAN 0 - 2 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-01-13 | OTT 2 - 1 VAN | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-21 | VAN 4 - 5 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-11-23 | OTT 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | OTT |
| 2024-01-02 | VAN 6 - 3 OTT | VAN | VAN |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3
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