Boston Bruins at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-11-23 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 54.1%

BOS: 45.9%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.22

BOS: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DET at home vs BOS: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	12	0	0.70
1	BOS	8	0	0.59
2	DET	12	0	0.59
2	BOS	16	0	0.68
3	DET	9	1	0.72
3	BOS	17	1	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.2 - 2.7