Utah Hockey Club at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-11-23 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 6 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

PIT: 44.5%

UTA: 55.5%

Expected Goals

PIT: 2.58

UTA: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 45%

PIT

Alex Nedeljkovic - 14-15-5 | 0.894 SV% | 3.12 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Alex Nedeljkovic	30	24	6	80.0%	3.62	1	-2.38
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	28	27	1	96.4%	2.31	2	1.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PIT at home vs UTA: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	UTA 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	UTA
2025-12-14	PIT 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-01-29	UTA 2 - 3 PIT	PIT	UTA
2024-11-23	PIT 1 - 6 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	15	1	0.86
1	UTA	15	0	1.19
2	PIT	16	1	1.27
2	UTA	17	0	1.14
3	PIT	8	0	0.19
3	UTA	14	1	1.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 6 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.6 - 3.0