Utah Hockey Club at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-11-23 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 6 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 43.8%
UTA: 56.2%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.51
UTA: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 3.7
Over 5.5: 28%
Over 6.5: 19%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | PIT | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.795 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PIT at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | UTA 3 - 4 PIT | PIT | UTA |
| 2025-12-14 | PIT 4 - 5 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-29 | UTA 2 - 3 PIT | PIT | UTA |
| 2024-11-23 | PIT 1 - 6 UTA | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:54 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 13:07 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 03:11 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:37 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 06:38 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:25 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:59 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 1 - 6 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.5 - 2.8
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