New Jersey Devils at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-11-23 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

WSH: 50.6%

NJD: 49.4%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.39

NJD: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WSH at home vs NJD: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NJD 7 - 3 WSH	NJD	NJD
2026-03-20	WSH 2 - 1 NJD	WSH	NJD
2025-12-27	NJD 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	NJD
2025-11-15	WSH 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	WSH
2024-11-30	NJD 5 - 6 WSH	WSH	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	10	0	0.46
1	NJD	17	4	2.29
2	WSH	17	0	0.49
2	NJD	14	1	0.85
3	WSH	19	1	2.12
3	NJD	12	1	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3