Carolina Hurricanes at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2024-11-23 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 43.8%

CAR: 56.2%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.85

CAR: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	39	35	4	89.7%	2.99	1	-1.01
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	33	28	5	84.8%	3.81	2	-1.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs CAR: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	CAR 5 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2026-03-31	CBJ 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-03-17	CBJ 5 - 1 CAR	CBJ	CAR
2025-12-09	CAR 4 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2025-01-23	CAR 7 - 4 CBJ	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	10	0	0.85
1	CAR	16	1	1.06
2	CBJ	15	1	1.07
2	CAR	21	0	1.24
3	CBJ	17	0	0.95
3	CAR	9	0	0.11
4	CBJ	1	0	0.10
4	CAR	4	0	0.34
5	CBJ	3	1	0.85
5	CAR	3	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0