Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-11-23 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 49.9%

WPG: 50.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.78

WPG: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 39%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	24	23	1	95.8%	3.08	2	2.08
WPG	Eric Comrie	36	32	4	88.9%	3.35	1	-0.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • NSH at home vs WPG: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-17	WPG 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	WPG
2025-11-29	NSH 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	NSH
2025-10-18	WPG 4 - 1 NSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-27	NSH 2 - 1 WPG	NSH	WPG
2025-01-07	WPG 5 - 2 NSH	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	0	0.32
1	WPG	14	1	1.26
2	NSH	21	0	1.16
2	WPG	9	1	1.08
3	NSH	17	1	1.87
3	WPG	12	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 1 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 2.8 - 2.9