St. Louis Blues at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-11-23 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 65.2%
STL: 34.8%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.52
STL: 2.62
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | NYI | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.917 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.918 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYI at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | STL 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-22 | NYI 1 - 2 STL | STL | NYI |
| 2024-11-23 | NYI 3 - 1 STL | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-10-17 | STL 1 - 0 NYI | STL | NYI |
| 2024-03-05 | NYI 4 - 2 STL | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:51 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:55 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 00:45 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:23 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 1 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6
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