Buffalo Sabres at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-11-23 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 58.5%
BUF: 41.5%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.02
BUF: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | SJS | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • SJS at home vs BUF: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-04 | BUF 2 - 6 SJS | SJS | BUF |
| 2024-11-23 | SJS 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | SJS |
| 2024-01-27 | SJS 2 - 5 BUF | BUF | SJS |
| 2024-01-15 | BUF 3 - 0 SJS | BUF | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:03 | SJS | Goal |
| 1 | 09:59 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 04:07 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 19:59 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 05:27 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 02:07 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 2 - 4 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8