New York Rangers at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2024-11-23 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 59.7%
NYR: 40.3%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.03
NYR: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | EDM | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.930 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • EDM at home vs NYR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-30 | EDM 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | EDM |
| 2025-10-14 | NYR 0 - 2 EDM | EDM | NYR |
| 2025-03-16 | NYR 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | NYR |
| 2024-11-23 | EDM 6 - 2 NYR | EDM | EDM |
| 2023-12-22 | NYR 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:34 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 19:51 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 08:54 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 11:58 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 15:02 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 05:49 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 09:37 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 16:29 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 6 - 2 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9