Utah Hockey Club at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-11-24 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

TOR: 63.3%

UTA: 36.7%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.16

UTA: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • TOR at home vs UTA: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-13	UTA 6 - 1 TOR	UTA	UTA
2025-11-05	TOR 5 - 3 UTA	TOR	TOR
2025-03-10	UTA 3 - 4 TOR	TOR	UTA
2024-11-24	TOR 3 - 2 UTA	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	13	0	0.44
1	UTA	19	1	1.12
2	TOR	31	2	2.95
2	UTA	9	0	0.62
3	TOR	14	0	0.96
3	UTA	16	0	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1