Washington Capitals at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-11-25 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 1 - 4 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 50.3%
WSH: 49.7%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.19
WSH: 3.29
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 46%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 20-16-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.41 GAA
| Stat | FLA | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • FLA at home vs WSH: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | WSH 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | WSH |
| 2025-12-29 | FLA 5 - 3 WSH | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-11-13 | FLA 6 - 3 WSH | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-22 | WSH 6 - 3 FLA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-04 | WSH 6 - 3 FLA | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:49 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 07:00 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:37 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 18:32 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 01:18 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 1 - 4 Washington Capitals
Expected: 2.2 - 3.3