St. Louis Blues at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-11-25 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 58.1%

STL: 41.9%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.46

STL: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYR at home vs STL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-18	STL 1 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-11-24	NYR 3 - 2 STL	NYR	NYR
2024-12-15	STL 3 - 2 NYR	STL	STL
2024-11-25	NYR 2 - 5 STL	STL	NYR
2024-03-09	NYR 4 - 0 STL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	19	0	1.15
1	STL	15	0	1.00
2	NYR	14	0	0.78
2	STL	23	2	2.53
3	NYR	11	1	0.99
3	STL	18	2	2.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2