Winnipeg Jets at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-11-25 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 55.7%
WPG: 44.3%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.89
WPG: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | MIN | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.867 | 0.898 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • MIN at home vs WPG: 0-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-15 | MIN 2 - 6 WPG | WPG | MIN |
| 2025-12-27 | WPG 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | WPG |
| 2025-11-23 | WPG 0 - 3 MIN | MIN | WPG |
| 2025-10-28 | MIN 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | MIN |
| 2024-12-21 | WPG 5 - 0 MIN | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:37 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 10:03 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 12:05 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 13:20 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 18:57 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 1 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0
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