Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-11-25 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 7 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 44.8%

LAK: 55.2%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.43

LAK: 3.34

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 39%

SJS

Yaroslav Askarov - 15-10-1 | 0.896 SV% | 3.36 GAA

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Yaroslav Askarov	24	22	2	91.7%	2.85	2	0.85
LAK	David Rittich	21	14	7	66.7%	1.84	0	-5.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SJS at home vs LAK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	LAK 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	LAK
2025-11-20	SJS 4 - 3 LAK	SJS	LAK
2025-10-28	SJS 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-30	LAK 8 - 1 SJS	LAK	LAK
2024-11-25	SJS 7 - 2 LAK	SJS	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	8	0	0.65
1	LAK	12	0	0.28
2	SJS	11	0	0.53
2	LAK	20	2	2.20
3	SJS	15	0	0.65
3	LAK	9	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 7 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3