Utah Hockey Club at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2024-11-26 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 57.6%
UTA: 42.4%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.12
UTA: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | MTL | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.912 | 0.750 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • MTL at home vs UTA: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-26 | UTA 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | UTA |
| 2025-11-08 | MTL 6 - 2 UTA | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-01-14 | UTA 3 - 5 MTL | MTL | UTA |
| 2024-11-26 | MTL 2 - 3 UTA | UTA | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 06:23 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:05 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:46 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:17 | MTL | Goal |
| 4 | 04:33 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 3 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9