Minnesota Wild at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 1 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 52.9%

MIN: 47.1%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.13

MIN: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs MIN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	BUF 4 - 5 MIN	MIN	BUF
2025-11-29	MIN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-03-22	MIN 4 - 1 BUF	MIN	BUF
2024-11-27	BUF 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	BUF
2024-02-17	MIN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	22	0	1.21
1	MIN	9	0	0.45
2	BUF	12	0	0.57
2	MIN	12	0	0.30
3	BUF	20	0	1.50
3	MIN	18	1	1.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 0 - 1 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0