St. Louis Blues at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 61.2%

STL: 38.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.40

STL: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	20	17	3	85.0%	1.90	1	-1.10
STL	Jordan Binnington	32	32	0	100.0%	3.43	2	3.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs STL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	STL 1 - 3 NJD	NJD	STL
2025-11-26	NJD 3 - 2 STL	NJD	NJD
2024-12-17	STL 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-11-27	NJD 0 - 3 STL	STL	NJD
2024-03-07	NJD 4 - 1 STL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	16	0	0.66
1	STL	12	1	1.07
2	NJD	23	2	1.96
2	STL	1	0	0.01
3	NJD	17	0	0.81
3	STL	12	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8