Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-11-27 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 56.7%
CGY: 43.3%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.44
CGY: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 45%
Over 6.5: 29%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | DET | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • DET at home vs CGY: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | CGY 3 - 4 DET | DET | CGY |
| 2025-02-01 | CGY 1 - 3 DET | DET | CGY |
| 2024-11-27 | DET 2 - 1 CGY | DET | DET |
| 2024-02-17 | CGY 0 - 5 DET | DET | CGY |
| 2023-10-22 | DET 6 - 2 CGY | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:33 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 17:12 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 03:35 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.4
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 2.4 - 3.0