Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2024-11-27 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 52.5%
CGY: 47.5%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.21
CGY: 2.50
Total Goals
Median: 4.3
Over 5.5: 31%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | DET | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.922 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DET at home vs CGY: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | DET 5 - 2 CGY | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-10 | CGY 3 - 4 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-02-01 | CGY 1 - 3 DET | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-27 | DET 2 - 1 CGY | DET | DET |
| 2024-02-17 | CGY 0 - 5 DET | DET | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:33 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 17:12 | DET | Goal |
| 4 | 03:35 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 2 - 1 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.2 - 2.5
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