Toronto Maple Leafs at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

FLA: 53.3%

TOR: 46.7%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.13

TOR: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • FLA at home vs TOR: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	TOR 2 - 6 FLA	FLA	TOR
2026-02-26	FLA 5 - 1 TOR	FLA	FLA
2026-01-06	TOR 4 - 1 FLA	TOR	FLA
2025-12-02	FLA 1 - 4 TOR	TOR	FLA
2025-05-18	TOR 1 - 6 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	0	0.85
1	TOR	12	0	0.59
2	FLA	13	0	0.99
2	TOR	13	0	1.03
3	FLA	9	1	1.06
3	TOR	7	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0