Vancouver Canucks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

PIT: 71.4%

VAN: 28.6%

Expected Goals

PIT: 4.05

VAN: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-25	VAN 2 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-10-21	PIT 5 - 1 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-11-27	PIT 5 - 4 VAN	PIT	PIT
2024-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 PIT	VAN	VAN
2024-02-27	VAN 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	18	2	1.60
1	VAN	12	0	0.47
2	PIT	12	0	0.40
2	VAN	6	0	0.34
3	PIT	9	0	0.61
3	VAN	16	0	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 4.1 - 3.0