Montreal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2024-11-27 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 64.9%
MTL: 35.1%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.81
MTL: 2.72
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 18-12-6 | 0.910 SV% | 2.62 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.928 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.906 | 0.870 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • CBJ at home vs MTL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 | CBJ 4 - 3 MTL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-12-23 | CBJ 5 - 4 MTL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-11-27 | CBJ 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | CBJ |
| 2024-11-16 | MTL 5 - 1 CBJ | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-03-12 | MTL 3 - 0 CBJ | MTL | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:08 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 13:00 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 04:27 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 06:34 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 08:24 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:22 | CBJ | Goal |
| 4 | 00:44 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.8 - 2.7