Montreal Canadiens at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions
2024-11-27 • Nationwide Arena
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CBJ: 60.7%
MTL: 39.3%
Expected Goals
CBJ: 3.54
MTL: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | CBJ | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.888 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.890 |
| GAA | 2.62 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • CBJ at home vs MTL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | MTL 2 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | MTL |
| 2026-03-26 | MTL 2 - 1 CBJ | MTL | CBJ |
| 2025-11-17 | CBJ 4 - 3 MTL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-12-23 | CBJ 5 - 4 MTL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-11-27 | CBJ 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | CBJ |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:08 | CBJ | Goal |
| 1 | 13:00 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 04:27 | CBJ | Goal |
| 2 | 06:34 | CBJ | Goal |
| 3 | 08:24 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:22 | CBJ | Goal |
| 4 | 00:44 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Columbus Blue Jackets 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8
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