Philadelphia Flyers at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

NSH: 47.0%

PHI: 53.0%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.09

PHI: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

PHI

Aleksei Kolosov - 5-9-1 | 0.867 SV% | 3.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	23	20	3	87.0%	1.79	0	-1.21
PHI	Aleksei Kolosov	27	25	2	92.6%	3.70	3	1.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs PHI: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-06	NSH 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-10-30	PHI 4 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2025-03-31	PHI 2 - 1 NSH	PHI	PHI
2024-11-27	NSH 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-21	PHI 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	21	1	0.99
1	PHI	8	0	0.33
2	NSH	19	1	1.42
2	PHI	10	0	0.50
3	NSH	9	1	0.92
3	PHI	13	0	0.72
4	NSH	4	0	0.35
4	PHI	2	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1