Anaheim Ducks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 51.3%

ANA: 48.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.08

ANA: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	33	28	5	84.8%	3.35	2	-1.65
ANA	John Gibson	44	42	2	95.5%	4.65	1	2.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SEA at home vs ANA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	ANA 4 - 2 SEA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-23	SEA 2 - 4 ANA	ANA	SEA
2025-12-22	ANA 1 - 3 SEA	SEA	ANA
2025-10-09	SEA 3 - 1 ANA	SEA	ANA
2025-01-28	SEA 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	22	1	1.48
1	ANA	17	0	0.95
2	SEA	15	0	0.83
2	ANA	16	0	0.93
3	SEA	30	0	2.34
3	ANA	15	2	1.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.1 - 2.8