Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-11-27 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

SJS: 35.0%

OTT: 65.0%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.70

OTT: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	OTT 7 - 4 SJS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-22	SJS 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-03-01	OTT 5 - 3 SJS	OTT	OTT
2024-11-27	SJS 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-03-09	SJS 2 - 1 OTT	SJS	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	17	0	0.95
1	OTT	9	1	0.65
2	SJS	18	1	1.10
2	OTT	10	0	0.47
3	SJS	22	3	2.46
3	OTT	4	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4