BUF vs VAN - 2024-11-29
2024-11-29 • KeyBank Center
BUF 3 - 4 VAN
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 59.3%
VAN: 40.7%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.12
VAN: 2.67
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 6-11-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.40 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:33 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:12 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 05:15 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 09:00 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 13:18 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 14:57 | BUF | Goal |
| 4 | 03:59 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
BUF 3 - 4 VAN
Expected: 3.1 - 2.7